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Buckle up, folks, because Carvana Co. (CVNA) is tearing up the stock market this morning! As of this writing, the online used-car retailer’s shares are screaming higher, up over 18% in pre-market trading at $393.55. Why the wild ride? The company just dropped a bombshell second-quarter earnings report that’s got investors revved up and short sellers sweating. Let’s peel back the hood, check out what’s powering this rally, and talk about the risks and rewards of jumping into this high-octane stock. Plus, for those looking to stay in the know about hot market movers, you can tap into free daily stock alerts sent right to your phone by clicking here.

The Catalyst: A Q2 Earnings Report That Crushed It

Carvana’s latest earnings are the kind of numbers that make you sit up and take notice. The company posted a net income of $308 million—six times higher than last year’s figure. That’s not just growth; that’s a full-on sprint. Earnings per share clocked in at $1.28, blowing past Wall Street’s expectations of $1.17. Revenue? Try $4.84 billion, up 42% from a year ago and well ahead of the $4.58 billion analysts were betting on.

What’s fueling this? Carvana sold a record 143,280 vehicles in Q2, a 41% jump from last year. That’s a lot of folks clicking “buy” on their website or picking up cars from those futuristic vending machines. The company’s also getting leaner, cutting operating costs per vehicle by about $150 compared to last year.

But here’s the kicker: Carvana’s CEO, Ernest Garcia III, says they’re just getting started. With only 1.5% of the U.S. used-car market, there’s a massive runway for growth. They’re ramping up inventory—up 50% year-over-year—to give buyers more choices and planning a big advertising push to get the word out.

Why This Matters for Traders

This earnings beat isn’t just a one-day story; it’s a masterclass in market momentum. Stocks like Carvana can light up the tape when they deliver numbers like these, especially in a choppy market where good news is hard to come by. For traders, big gains like today’s pre-market surge scream opportunity—but they also come with a warning label. Volatility is Carvana’s middle name, with a beta of 2.44, meaning it swings harder than the broader market.

The lesson here? Timing matters. Jumping into a stock mid-rally can feel like chasing a speeding car. Smart traders watch for pullbacks or use options to manage risk. And with Carvana’s next earnings due October 29, 2025, keeping a pulse on the market is key. Want to stay ahead of the game? Get free daily stock alerts texted to your phone by tapping here.

The Bull Case: Why Carvana’s Got Investors Pumped

Let’s talk about what’s got the bulls charging. Carvana’s business model—buying and selling used cars online with a seamless, Amazon-like experience—is disruptive. No haggling at a dealership, no endless paperwork. Plus, those car vending machines? Pure marketing genius. The company’s Q1 2025 results already showed record-breaking performance, with $4.23 billion in revenue and a net income margin of 8.8%. Q2 just turned the dial to 11.

Analysts are taking notice. The average price target for Carvana is $347, with some as high as $440, suggesting room to run even after today’s spike. A “Moderate Buy” rating from 17 analysts reflects confidence in Carvana’s growth story. And with used-car demand climbing—thanks to tariffs on new cars making them pricier—Carvana’s positioned to grab more market share.

Then there’s the turnaround factor. Two years ago, Carvana was on the ropes, trading at $3.55 in December 2022. Now? It’s flirting with all-time highs, up over 4,000% in that span. That’s the kind of comeback story that gets investors dreaming of the next big win.

The Bear Case: Why Short Sellers Are Circling

But hold the champagne. Carvana’s not without its potholes. Short sellers, like famed investor Jim Chanos, have been gunning for this stock, and they’ve got their reasons. A big chunk of Carvana’s profits—$274 million of that $308 million in Q2—comes from selling the loans it originates, not from car sales. Critics argue this accounting move inflates earnings, booking the full loan value upfront while others spread it out over time.

Then there’s the Hindenburg Research drama. Earlier this year, the now-disbanded short-seller firm dropped a report claiming Carvana’s underwriting standards were too loose and that it was padding profits by selling subprime loans to related parties. Carvana’s fighting back, calling the allegations bunk, but the SEC’s June subpoena on the matter isn’t exactly a warm hug.

Valuation’s another red flag. Carvana’s trading at a forward P/E ratio of 69.31, way above the industry average of 25. That’s a premium price for a company still carrying high debt and facing macro risks like rising interest rates or a consumer slowdown. If the economy hits a speed bump, those subprime loans could turn into a headache.

Risks and Rewards: What’s at Stake?

So, what’s the play here? Carvana’s a high-risk, high-reward bet. The rewards? If Garcia’s growth plan pans out, Carvana could keep eating market share, and today’s $393.55 could look like a bargain in a year. Analysts see earnings climbing to $4.91 per share for 2025, a 208% jump from last year. Plus, talk of S&P 500 inclusion could bring in big institutional money.

The risks? Plenty. A 2.96% volatility level means this stock can swing hard both ways. Insider sales, like Ernest Garcia II unloading $67.9 million in stock earlier this month, might spook some investors. And if loan defaults rise or the SEC probe turns up trouble, the bears could get their day in the sun.

Trading Takeaways: Lessons from Carvana’s Surge

Carvana’s wild ride today teaches us a few things about trading in today’s market. First, earnings surprises can ignite massive moves, but you’ve got to be quick—or smart about your entry. Second, momentum stocks like Carvana thrive on sentiment, but they’re also magnets for controversy. Dig into the numbers, not just the hype. Finally, risk management is everything. Use stop-losses, size your positions right, and don’t bet the farm on one stock.

Want to keep tabs on stocks making big moves like Carvana? Get free daily stock alerts sent straight to your phone by clicking here. It’s a no-brainer way to stay in the loop without glued to your screen.

The Bottom Line

Carvana’s Q2 earnings are a wake-up call: this company’s not just surviving; it’s thriving. As of this writing, the stock’s soaring in pre-market, and the bulls are loving every minute. But with short sellers, SEC scrutiny, and a lofty valuation in the mix, this isn’t a stock for the faint of heart. Whether you’re eyeing a trade or just watching the show, Carvana’s proving that in the stock market, fortune favors the bold—but only if you’re ready for the ride.

Stay sharp, traders, and keep those alerts coming by tapping here for free daily stock tips right to your phone!

Author:
Jeff Bishop

One of the best traders anywhere, over the past 20 years Jeff’s made multi-millions trading stocks, ETFs, and options. He is renowned as an incredible trader with a deep insight and a sensitive pulse on the markets and the economy. Jeff Bishop is CEO and Co-Founder of RagingBull.com.

Even greater than his prowess as a trader is his skill and passion in teaching others how to trade and rake in profits while managing risk.

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